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Expert urges caution on Hungary shift

(ANSA) - TRIESTE, 13 APR - The main argument is that despite Peter Magyar's electoral victory, caution is needed before anticipating a major shift in Hungary's political direction. That is the message from Mattia Zulianello, associate professor of Political Science at the Department of Political and Social Sciences of the University of Trieste: the reversal some are expecting from "competitive authoritarianism" or "illiberal democracy" in Hungary may not come right away, even though Peter Magyar won a two-thirds majority. Zulianello told ANSA that several factors are at play: "We know little about this new prime minister. He could potentially control a system that can serve his interests. I am cautious when I see enthusiasm. Even if he wants a reversal, people overlook that Fidesz has captured the administrative apparatus, able to block reforms. Magyar's party is new, and I doubt its cohesion for reform. It would take years to reverse course, if it happens at all." According to the scholar, it is "unlikely" that Viktor Orban's defeat will cause a broader retreat of the radical right in Europe: "Voters hardly care about national politics, let alone the wider impact. I do not claim the right-wing growth trend in Europe is unchangeable, but this result will not shift it much. Still, they are losing a totem." He commented on Italy: "There was a close relationship between Meloni and Orban. The election outcome may not significantly complicate relations, but it could make them less ideologically aligned. Meloni is pragmatic in government and will work constructively." Zulianello called the events in Hungary "surprising," attributing them to corruption scandals and Fidesz's close ties to the system. But he cautioned against overstating the expected change. "The fortress-Hungary approach will remain. Tisza is still a right-wing nationalist-conservative party, aware of the source of its votes", he added. (ANSA).