(ANSA) - BELGRADE, AUG 10 - The Ceuta crisis appears to have reopened Pandora's box on immigration, which had been dormant in Europe for a few months. The outcomes are now unpredictable. And the situation in Italy is becoming significantly more complicated, with the possibility of a ripple even in the coalition between Giorgia Meloni and Friedrich Merz, which is one of the most solid in Europe. Indeed, the new Migration Pact, which took effect on June 12, addresses more than just external borders and third-country hubs. Secondary movements, which have long been a source of contention between Italy and second-arrival countries such as Germany, Austria, and France, are becoming more strictly regulated. "There is no migrand to take back from Berlin under Dublin," Italian Interior Ministry sources stated last evening. "The functioning of the Dublin system is a prerequisite for the success of the Common European Asylum System," and Berlin "expects that, starting from that date, transfers to Italy and Greece will resume," said a spokesperson for the German Interior Ministry, confirming La Repubblica's anticipations. Germany's initiative has two lines. The first is strictly political. Brussels is keeping a close eye on Chancellor Friedrich Merz's moves ahead of the September 6 elections in Saxony-Anhalt, where the far-right AfD is expected to win a comfortable majority. This will be the first election of the autumn, and one of the main concerns surrounding the Berlaymont building is that it will be overshadowed by election campaigns in the major member countries: Italy, Spain, France, and Poland. They will all vote in 2027. However, there is a regulatory prerequisite for Berlin's move, and it is in this context that the conflict with Rome could occur. According to Germany, the "amnesty" on secondary movements resulting from the bilateral agreement signed in the autumn of 2025 expired with the implementation of the new Migration Pact last June. However, Italy "considers all alleged migrants under Dublin who arrived in Europe before June 12, 2026, the date the new Migration Pact enters into force, to be zero." Furthermore, it is still premature to believe that there are people who arrived in Italy after that date and are now in other countries" because "there is still too little time to verify this," according to the Interior Ministry's theory, which also emphasises another point: those arriving after June 12 will have to be compensated by migrants brought to Italy by NGOs, many of whom are German. (ANSA).